Donald Trump President : What future for the relationships between the USA and Europe

21/12/2024

 On January 20th 2025, Donald Trump will for a second time sit behind the Oval office. What will be the consequences of this new mandate on the transatlantic relationships ? Obviously, we can't skip the economic measures that aim for huge taxes against imports, especially from the European Union.

« I'm gonna impose a tariff on the outside world, and they gotta pay it for their privilege of coming in and robbing our jobs and robbing our companies.» → Donald J. Trump 

Indeed, the former president doesn't seem to bear in his heart international trade. And this will unavoidably impact our country. The USA are the 4th most important French customer, and in 2023, France has sold to the world's biggest power for a total of 45 billion euros. 

However, many measures will probably be taken in a military viewpoint, with a lot of impacts on the political stability of the continent.Of course, there is the decrease of the backing to Ukraine. He pretends be able to "stop the war in a day", which means certainly let Russian authorities win the conflict. Many say that if Ukraine loose the war, it will strengthen Poutine's influence on the region and his desire to go further. But according to some specialists, the Russian President has not enough military capabilities to do it. As the journalist Natacha Polony says, the stake for the European Union is to keep a stable economy and to not spend too much in the war in Ukraine. 

Finally, the political consequences will be sizable, with an expected increment of radicalism. We hear a lot about Viktor Orbán, Hungarian Prime Minister, known as a Trump admirer. He used to "steal" American President's favorite quote "Make America Great Again" and to rephrase it as "Make Europe Great Again". But the American businessman can also be sure to have the support from other politicians on the Old Continent, as Geert Wilders, an extreme right leader also called "the Dutch Trump".Specialists are worried about this influence, claiming that it would threaten fundamental values as democracy or freedom.     

LUCIE SLAVIERO--KAUPP

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